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so the markets have moved up on that hope we will get a done deal and avert the fiscal cliff. >>> positioning portfolios for the new year, i can majs is tricky right now. there's a lot of mess going on in d.c. we're going to help. we're going to give you the single best play for 2013. >>> and also next, two congressman, one democrat one republican. they're going to talk to us about the fiscal cliff. are they happy or sad? and can they rise above to get a deal done? "closing bell" will be back after this break. tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 when i'm trading, i'm totally focused. tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 and the streetsmart edge trading platform from charles schwab... tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 gives me tools that help me find opportunities more easily. tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 i can even access it from the cloud and trade on any computer. tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 and with schwab mobile, tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 i can focus on trading anyplace, anytime. tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 until i choose to focus on something else. tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 all this with no trade minimums. tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 and only $8.95
so the markets have moved up on that hope we will get a done deal and avert the fiscal cliff. >>> positioning portfolios for the new year, i can majs is tricky right now. there's a lot of mess going on in d.c. we're going to help. we're going to give you the single best play for 2013. >>> and also next, two congressman, one democrat one republican. they're going to talk to us about the fiscal cliff. are they happy or sad? and can they rise above to get a deal done?...
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Dec 28, 2012
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. >> we can forget about the fiscal cliff here. something will be done. and there will be a look back and they'll correct the tax implications for all of us. but the thing they won't be able to do anything about and that they will actually have to negotiate and get done is the debt ceiling. that is the big thing facing us right now. most likely in the first three weeks of january. >> what makes you give back into the market? what makes you put a position on? >> i think we'll see some panic during the first three weeks of january. i really do. >> a whoosh down and then start fishing. >> yes. i would like to see that same sort of panic that lifts us into the mid 20s for the vix. i don't want to see that folks but when scott is asking me when would i get back in, i'll get back in because i anticipate that panic because as these guys have proved, they said november 16th. we're not going to go to the end of the line to get this thing approved. they've come all the way to the end of the line. they will do the same thing with the debt ceiling and that is why i t
. >> we can forget about the fiscal cliff here. something will be done. and there will be a look back and they'll correct the tax implications for all of us. but the thing they won't be able to do anything about and that they will actually have to negotiate and get done is the debt ceiling. that is the big thing facing us right now. most likely in the first three weeks of january. >> what makes you give back into the market? what makes you put a position on? >> i think we'll...
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Dec 31, 2012
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remember this, if you haven't been following the fiscal cliff, take note. even if a deal gets done, taxes go up for many high income and likely big spending families. there is an economic impact either way. it is just perhaps the veseveri under question. >> when we talk about is the marginal propensity to consume. what does that mean? for every dollar that you either have or don't have, how much of that will you spend or not spend? the thinking is as we raise taxes on wealthier people, that margin propensity goes down. in other words, they don't spend every dollar they have, they save a bit of it, because they have more of it. the economic point of view is to get rid the tax hikes on middle class. it goes down the the higher up you go it goes down further. you are right to say that in general, economists in 2013, brian, are looking for fiscal contraction. the federal government will be a drag on growth. no matter what happens, taxes go up on some folks then spending cuts in the budget control act and so far as you notice, brian, they haven't said anything a
remember this, if you haven't been following the fiscal cliff, take note. even if a deal gets done, taxes go up for many high income and likely big spending families. there is an economic impact either way. it is just perhaps the veseveri under question. >> when we talk about is the marginal propensity to consume. what does that mean? for every dollar that you either have or don't have, how much of that will you spend or not spend? the thinking is as we raise taxes on wealthier people,...
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cliff deal does not get done and fast. >> i'm the founder and ceo of unilife corp rage. if the fiscal cliff issue doesn't get resolved, there's no question the usa economy is going to go into recession. we closed down our manufacturing in china and relocated our manufacturing to the usa. for other companies to consider following our lead, they need to trust that our leaders in washington will actually lead. think outside the box. create incentive for businesses to invest in the u.s. economy. tdd# 1-800-345-2550 you should've seen me today. tdd# 1-800-345-2550 when the spx crossed above its 50-day moving average, tdd# 1-800-345-2550 i saw the trend. tdd# 1-800-345-2550 it looked really strong. tdd# 1-800-345-2550 and i jumped right on it. tdd# 1-800-345-2550 tdd# 1-800-345-2550 since i've switched to charles schwab... tdd# 1-800-345-2550 ...i've been finding opportunities like this tdd# 1-800-345-2550 a lot more easily. tdd# 1-800-345-2550 like today, tdd# 1-800-345-2550 i was using their streetsmart edge trading platform tdd# 1-800-345-2550 and i saw a double bottom form
cliff deal does not get done and fast. >> i'm the founder and ceo of unilife corp rage. if the fiscal cliff issue doesn't get resolved, there's no question the usa economy is going to go into recession. we closed down our manufacturing in china and relocated our manufacturing to the usa. for other companies to consider following our lead, they need to trust that our leaders in washington will actually lead. think outside the box. create incentive for businesses to invest in the u.s....
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Dec 24, 2012
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by going over the fiscal cliff? >> i think one of the things to look at here is that, and you have to look at the back side, is that retailers in respect of inventories, are in the best position possible. also an anniversary of cheaper cotton prices here. revenue i don't think the big story for this segment in 2013. if they can hold on and if the fiscal cliff is really bad and can't hold on, it won't be as negative as other periods. the simple fact that retailers are in much better shape in terms of cost and than they've been in years. if the fiscal cliff is fixed, then have a very strong first half and back half of next year. if it doesn't, we will have a situation that we see at christmas where low sales will not translate to mixed earnings. they will see a lot of margin improvements and upside from there. >> all right. we will leave it there. thank you. i appreciate your time. have a great holiday. >> thank you. >>> up next, hollywood is eyeing what could be the best for the box office ever. pushing towards the f
by going over the fiscal cliff? >> i think one of the things to look at here is that, and you have to look at the back side, is that retailers in respect of inventories, are in the best position possible. also an anniversary of cheaper cotton prices here. revenue i don't think the big story for this segment in 2013. if they can hold on and if the fiscal cliff is really bad and can't hold on, it won't be as negative as other periods. the simple fact that retailers are in much better shape...
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are you customers going to stop eating at maria's if we go over the fiscal cliff? >> i don't know, brian. i've got my parachute packed. how about you? >> pasta parachute? that's terrible, sorry. >> full of lots of lasagna noodles, but i think now that the career politicians are done with protecting their jobs, hopefully they will think about the american jobs, and just collaborate so our customers aren't talking about it, but our fellow business owners are talking about it. one of our biggest concerns is, you know, and my cohort there will probably comply, but 75% of all small businesses are individual "s" corporations so they file taxes as an individual, so that increase is going to hurt the business -- the business expenses that we have, and then we can't put the money back into capital, so there's a lot of things. if our politicians would just get together and collaborate and kind of split the baby, if you would, you know, and think about strategic plans like we do as small businesses and not the short-term fixes. >> well said. >> capital gains is an issue and e
are you customers going to stop eating at maria's if we go over the fiscal cliff? >> i don't know, brian. i've got my parachute packed. how about you? >> pasta parachute? that's terrible, sorry. >> full of lots of lasagna noodles, but i think now that the career politicians are done with protecting their jobs, hopefully they will think about the american jobs, and just collaborate so our customers aren't talking about it, but our fellow business owners are talking about it....
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so we'll be on fiscal cliff watch on fast money. hopefully we'll have a deal to talk about. it's also about 2013 trades. predictions on the commodity front. top trade in the internet space. all of our traders will be prepared to give their top trades, as well. and of course we have broadcasting tonight in times square, heart of the biggest party in the universe. >> good luck getting home. >> really. >> have a great new year. >> thank you. you, too. >> we'll see you in 2013. here's what you missed if you're just tuning in. >>> welcome to hour three of "squawk on the street." here's what's happening so far. >> the real question is whether or not the president will weigh in and push the democrats in the senate to move forward with a bill today. if that happens, then i think that we can solve this current challenge. >> we ought to be concentrating on how to get government out of the way. get them off the back of small and medium sized businesses, even large corporations. let our economy grow. >> the economy is an incredible ability to s
so we'll be on fiscal cliff watch on fast money. hopefully we'll have a deal to talk about. it's also about 2013 trades. predictions on the commodity front. top trade in the internet space. all of our traders will be prepared to give their top trades, as well. and of course we have broadcasting tonight in times square, heart of the biggest party in the universe. >> good luck getting home. >> really. >> have a great new year. >> thank you. you, too. >> we'll see you...
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Dec 29, 2012
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. >> alison, i have no idea whether we'll get a fiscal cliff deal done or not. i do have a pretty good idea as to how we got into this gigantic pickle in the first place. >> now we've passed a bold package of tax relief for america's families and businesses. >> it starts when then president george w. bush initiated a series of tax cuts for all americans, but it's a deal with the devil. the cuts, which are politically expedient, but costly to government expire in ten years time. >> both houses of congress have now passed a package of tax relief that will protect the middle class. >> when it came time for the cuts to expire, the u.s. is just emerging from the worst recession since the great depression. so president obama agreed to extend the tax cuts for two more years in exchange for congress extending federal emergency unemployment benefits. those cuts are expensive. if they're extended by 2020, the bush-era tax cuts will be responsible for more than half the total national debt. democrats insist that taxes go up for the wealthy but stay in place permanently for
. >> alison, i have no idea whether we'll get a fiscal cliff deal done or not. i do have a pretty good idea as to how we got into this gigantic pickle in the first place. >> now we've passed a bold package of tax relief for america's families and businesses. >> it starts when then president george w. bush initiated a series of tax cuts for all americans, but it's a deal with the devil. the cuts, which are politically expedient, but costly to government expire in ten years...
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cliff deadline had gone by. >> i think we can say we've done some good for the country. >> reporter: since lawmakers missed the midnight deadline nearly every american wakes up with higher taxes but congress can undo those tax hikes if the house passes the senate's bill. vice president biden, who was instrumental in brokering the deal, told reporters he's hopeful it can get through the house but you never know. >> you shouldn't predict how the senate will vote before they vote and number two, you surely shouldn't predict how the house is going to vote. >> reporter: it would extend tax cuts for all workers earning under $400,000 and raise taxes on people above that level and prevent a big tax hike in an estate valued at less than $5 million and extend unemployment benefits for 2 million people. the house will take it up later this morning, the hope is that chamber can pass it before the economy is rocked by the tax hikes. >> happy new year. i feel very, very good. >> reporter: president obama called the senate vote the right thing to do for the country and he encouraged the house to p
cliff deadline had gone by. >> i think we can say we've done some good for the country. >> reporter: since lawmakers missed the midnight deadline nearly every american wakes up with higher taxes but congress can undo those tax hikes if the house passes the senate's bill. vice president biden, who was instrumental in brokering the deal, told reporters he's hopeful it can get through the house but you never know. >> you shouldn't predict how the senate will vote before they vote...
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. >>> the deadline to make a deal and avoid the fiscal cliff less than 48 hours away now. the senate and the house convening this afternoon for a rare sunday session with the hopes of reaching a vote possibly tonight. but can they really get a deal done? yesterday i spoke with sheila, the former chairman of the fdic and she's been through some tough negotiatiions before. this is what she had to say about the chances of a deal and what might be included. >> this should have been resolved long ago and i do think, actually, they are going to get a deal, but i think more along the lines down the road. at least at this point that we'll get meaningful deficit reduction, certainly not meaningful tax reform. i do think, though, perhaps a permanent extension of the lower tax rates for those making at least under $500,000. the payroll tax cut on the other hand will go away, i think, is highly unlikely and that is going to impact a lot of workers. i think they will make some decisions this weekend and a good chance that it will pass and become law. that is the good news. the bad news
. >>> the deadline to make a deal and avoid the fiscal cliff less than 48 hours away now. the senate and the house convening this afternoon for a rare sunday session with the hopes of reaching a vote possibly tonight. but can they really get a deal done? yesterday i spoke with sheila, the former chairman of the fdic and she's been through some tough negotiatiions before. this is what she had to say about the chances of a deal and what might be included. >> this should have been...
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try to get it done. hawaii. fiscal cliff hasn't touched them yet. so, i think we go over the cliff and then the bunji cord attached to our ofeet we dangle for a while. it will be the end of the week. >> bret: next up, a look back at the year that was. ♪ auld lang syne. >> bret: it's a big night. do we have the live look at times square people huddled down there? oh, that is live. look at that they are all packing in there. a lot of them have been there all day. getting ready for that big crystal ball to drop. there you see the countdown, the new year's countdown on the screen. 2012. there is the ball. it's been a crazy year. crazy news year as well. we're back with the panel. we decided that we would try the highlights and low lights of 2012 with the panel for this second panel. the last panel of 2012 i should point out. >> knock on wood. be. [ laughter ] >> bret: charles, highlight and low light. >> i just got a news alert. just arrived at the senate chamber. >> bret: someone just laughed in tv land. >> they are like what is that? >> rolling out
try to get it done. hawaii. fiscal cliff hasn't touched them yet. so, i think we go over the cliff and then the bunji cord attached to our ofeet we dangle for a while. it will be the end of the week. >> bret: next up, a look back at the year that was. ♪ auld lang syne. >> bret: it's a big night. do we have the live look at times square people huddled down there? oh, that is live. look at that they are all packing in there. a lot of them have been there all day. getting ready for...
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>> with congress deadlocked over fiscal cliff negotiations, little else is getting done. one piece of legislation that awaits action is a new farm bill. if it's not passed, the price of milk, which is now $3.54 a gallon, could double. another bill languishing in congress is the emergency funding for states ravaged by superstorm sandy. the senate passed 60.4 billion in aid yesterday, but the house has yet to act. nine weeks after sandy hit, the need for help is immense. >> this is my house, this was my dream, you know, this was the american dream. >> reporter: when hurricanes or floods threaten pedro's house in the past, somehow it always survived. but as sandy belted sta ten island two months ago, correa knew right away this storm was different. >> i looked out the window and seen my car, it was moving. i said wow the win must be really ripping, and i looked closer and it was floating. >> reporter: he had already vaked his wife and two children. he and his brother were trying to save the house. sandy gave them no chance. >> out of the corner of my eye i see my neighbor's
>> with congress deadlocked over fiscal cliff negotiations, little else is getting done. one piece of legislation that awaits action is a new farm bill. if it's not passed, the price of milk, which is now $3.54 a gallon, could double. another bill languishing in congress is the emergency funding for states ravaged by superstorm sandy. the senate passed 60.4 billion in aid yesterday, but the house has yet to act. nine weeks after sandy hit, the need for help is immense. >> this is my...
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cliff, has a lot of the damage been done, brian? >> i think it has. that's a good point and i think what you need to do is put your trader hat on and say i'm going to trade this for a hope rally, but if you're a longer term investor i would use any type of rally to take any profits that i have because i think a lot of damage has been done over the last year. businesses have been paralyzed and now the consumer has been paralyzed. what advice do you have among people trying to invest amidst this uncertainty. >> i think long term they're much more important for factors at work than what happens with this budget deal. >> thank goodness. >>a you will we would do if we went over the cliff from a tax point of view is install the tax structure from the clinton administration. >> we'll show people right now that you like homebuilders and you like retailers, right? put that up. heebner likes retail, home building, what's the third one? automobiles. >> all early-cycle stocks. i like these stocks because the economy is going to be -- has a mult
cliff, has a lot of the damage been done, brian? >> i think it has. that's a good point and i think what you need to do is put your trader hat on and say i'm going to trade this for a hope rally, but if you're a longer term investor i would use any type of rally to take any profits that i have because i think a lot of damage has been done over the last year. businesses have been paralyzed and now the consumer has been paralyzed. what advice do you have among people trying to invest amidst...
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we're going over the fiscal cliff but shortly there after, gold is going. long term i want gold but short term not so much. >> now you know what these guys think. what about you? if we do go over the cliff, would gold go higher or lower. tell us. sean egan tells us if going over the cliff would mean a slash in the credit rating and ralph acampora, two shows, 1:00 p.m. >> we'll catch you at the top of the hour. give me a target for gold next year. it's at $1660. are we going substantially higher or towards 15? are not and gold and silver has had every reason to move higher in the fourth quarter in 2012. it has not. i think the love affair hedge funds have had with gold is over and view 2013 is the year gold will finally under-perform. >>> coming up, delta's flight status, can it continue its flying stock market run into the new year, one stock, two opinions. we debate it. >>> home prices on track positive for the first time since 2006. which real estate stocks are traders banking on now? >>> japanese stocks trading on highs as the market plunges. ♪ [ cows
we're going over the fiscal cliff but shortly there after, gold is going. long term i want gold but short term not so much. >> now you know what these guys think. what about you? if we do go over the cliff, would gold go higher or lower. tell us. sean egan tells us if going over the cliff would mean a slash in the credit rating and ralph acampora, two shows, 1:00 p.m. >> we'll catch you at the top of the hour. give me a target for gold next year. it's at $1660. are we going...
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cliff deal not done at all. stay with cnn all day for the developing news on the fiscal cliff, we have a big house vote perhaps as this bill gets to the floor. as we say good-bye to 2012 thank you to all the people behind the scenes who make "starting point" possible. happy new year, everyone. ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ should all acquaintance be forgot
cliff deal not done at all. stay with cnn all day for the developing news on the fiscal cliff, we have a big house vote perhaps as this bill gets to the floor. as we say good-bye to 2012 thank you to all the people behind the scenes who make "starting point" possible. happy new year, everyone. ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ should all acquaintance be forgot
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>> i agree with the notion that, of course, we're at mercy of the fiscal cliff talks, and i do think that the near term picture for equities is not looking very good because anybody who has any faith that these guys are going to get a deal done within the next couple of days i think is kidding themselves, as we've been kidding ourselves for the past couple of months. i worry about the bond picture in general simply because of the duration risk. i think, you know, the fund flow things that you talked about earlier, very important. we've seen the rush into bonds. i think that's coming to an end. equities and the fed pushing you there and the fed will get its way. >> very have to cut it short and signals we'll hear from mitch mcconnell soon. i'll see you coming up in a little bit on countdown, kathy, and jeff, we'll see you a little bit later as well. a quick break and then come back and senate republican leader mitch mcconnell is set to talk to reporters. maybe we'll get more ideas and light shed on what's going on in washington on the fiscal cliff. more after this. stay tuned. excuse
>> i agree with the notion that, of course, we're at mercy of the fiscal cliff talks, and i do think that the near term picture for equities is not looking very good because anybody who has any faith that these guys are going to get a deal done within the next couple of days i think is kidding themselves, as we've been kidding ourselves for the past couple of months. i worry about the bond picture in general simply because of the duration risk. i think, you know, the fund flow things that...
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>> people who have been watching these fiscal cliff negotiations for a long time basically expected it to play out pretty much the way it played out. there was not much real expectation that any grand bargain would happen because this is still a lame duck session of congress and the fact is in these negotiations neither side has maximum leverage until it's right up to the very last second. so that's when everybody feels they have the best ability to exact the demands that will satisfy their constituents and as a result it just really is not in either side's interest to make an agreement before you get to the last second because that is when everybody feels they have the most leverage. and we're going to see the same dynamic again with these other issues, most notably the debt ceiling coming in a couple months. >> thank you very much for your perspective. happy new year. >> same to you. >>> well the house action is about to officially begin so don't go anywhere. sometimes what we suffer from is bigger than we think ... like the flu. with aches, fever and chills- the flu's a really big d
>> people who have been watching these fiscal cliff negotiations for a long time basically expected it to play out pretty much the way it played out. there was not much real expectation that any grand bargain would happen because this is still a lame duck session of congress and the fact is in these negotiations neither side has maximum leverage until it's right up to the very last second. so that's when everybody feels they have the best ability to exact the demands that will satisfy...
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fiscal cliff? at the top of our short list, there's still time to take advantage of the gift tax. right now there's a $5 million exemption and the tax rate is 35%. at midnight on new year's eve, that exemption drops to just $1 million and the tax rate goes to 55%. the capital gains tax rate, of course, is expected to increase from 20 to 30%. there's brand-new 3.9% medicare tax on high wage earners and a tax for wealthy donations. primarily between house republicans and the obama white house in the senate. but a survey done by northern trust of high net worth individuals' priorities found 44% saying their top priority for the country is economic growth and reducing unemployment versus 19% for reducing the federal budget deficit. another 15% said they wanted to see an end to gridlock. good luck. now, as far as their own wealth preservation strategies. that same survey found high net worth persons, those with $5 million or more in assets, obviously much more proactive in anticipating the tax consequen
fiscal cliff? at the top of our short list, there's still time to take advantage of the gift tax. right now there's a $5 million exemption and the tax rate is 35%. at midnight on new year's eve, that exemption drops to just $1 million and the tax rate goes to 55%. the capital gains tax rate, of course, is expected to increase from 20 to 30%. there's brand-new 3.9% medicare tax on high wage earners and a tax for wealthy donations. primarily between house republicans and the obama white house in...
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Jan 1, 2013
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how do you feel about us not talking about the fiscal cliff anymore? >> woe, that is great. >> look. look. look how happy they are. >> that is the moment of the night. yes. >> that is what we thought. up next, one of the greatest stories of rock history will play out on our times square stage. >> that is right. we're 22 minutes from the big ball drop. all american new year's eve is become in three minutes, 2013 is that far away. >> hi, i'm in afghanistan and want to say hi to family in new jersey my wife and daughter. happy holidays i'll be home, soon. >> hi. i want say happy holidays to my family and friends in california and hi to my husband, bill, my kids, i love you. i miss you. see you guys soon. [ male announcer ] how can power consumption in china, impact wool exports from new zealand, textile production in spain, and the use of medical technology in the u.s.? at t. rowe price, we understand the connections of a complex, global economy. it's just one reason over 75% of our mutual funds beat their 10-year lipper average. t. ro price. invest with
how do you feel about us not talking about the fiscal cliff anymore? >> woe, that is great. >> look. look. look how happy they are. >> that is the moment of the night. yes. >> that is what we thought. up next, one of the greatest stories of rock history will play out on our times square stage. >> that is right. we're 22 minutes from the big ball drop. all american new year's eve is become in three minutes, 2013 is that far away. >> hi, i'm in afghanistan and...
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they passed a bill months ago to avoid this fiscal cliff. now, that bill has been come meetly ignored by -- completely ignored by senate democrats and by the president. number five the worse part of all there is nothing here that the president is proprosing that deals with the real clear present danger that america now faces. reckless borrowing, reckless spending generational theft that brings america to the point of bankruptcy. the president has given the country over $6 trillion in new debt. trillion dollars deficits as far as the eye can see and all he wants to fight for is higher taxes that will fund a mere 8 and a half days of government. frankly nothing but a pathetic disgrace. you the american people deserve a government that lives within its means. you deserve a government that is not obsessed with using your money to accumulate their power. it is time for americans to understand the simple truth of what is going on here. a truth by the way that an abusively biased news media just ignores. joining us now with reaction as america is o
they passed a bill months ago to avoid this fiscal cliff. now, that bill has been come meetly ignored by -- completely ignored by senate democrats and by the president. number five the worse part of all there is nothing here that the president is proprosing that deals with the real clear present danger that america now faces. reckless borrowing, reckless spending generational theft that brings america to the point of bankruptcy. the president has given the country over $6 trillion in new debt....
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not the fiscal cliff. that is debt ceiling debate we were talking about. he says give us a checkbook and taking a shot at republicans. that is different from the fiscal cliff. >> andrea: they are intertwined. not separate entities. i point out is the language he used. con plaited republicans holding their children hostage and murdering them. imagine if the republicans said that. you have don't hear about it. you hear about it here. >> kimberly: because we put it on fox news. i like to play a game called seal a new deal. go around the table. >> andrea: taken. >> kimberly: it has? >> andrea: yeah, sorry. >> kimberly: we play this and begin with you. let me know what you think. deal or no deal by the time of the deadline? >> no deal. meeting with the political theater. >> kimberly: andrea? >> andrea: no deal. >> kimberly: he doesn't want one. he is all for -- >> eric: there probably will be something early january. >> eric: it will be a bad deal. squishy republicans -- actually you are mad at everybody. mad at republicans and democrats. >> eric: lawmakers in
not the fiscal cliff. that is debt ceiling debate we were talking about. he says give us a checkbook and taking a shot at republicans. that is different from the fiscal cliff. >> andrea: they are intertwined. not separate entities. i point out is the language he used. con plaited republicans holding their children hostage and murdering them. imagine if the republicans said that. you have don't hear about it. you hear about it here. >> kimberly: because we put it on fox news. i like...
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but could failure to get a deal done on the fiscal cliff spark some serious safe haven buying? that's the question. joining us now to talk gold is president and ceo of global holdings. so that is the question. what's the answer? >> okay. well, as you said, gold has been range-bound for a little over a year now. and as far as the fiscal cliff, we're not coming close to a deal, maybe going over the cliff, you're seeing gold pulling back a little bit. so it's actually -- that is not an impetus right now to drive gold higher. now, our feelings are that we're not really going to go over the fiscal cliff in the true sense. we might in a temporary for a very brief period of time. but, once we come out of that, and the actual deal we start looking at what the deal is, the details, we're going to probably see there's no real significant cut in spending, and that the ongoing spending, and creation of additional debt is going to continue unabated, and that will be a real driver for gold. >> okay, so my second bet, though, beyond that we might be having this conversation in the end of janu
but could failure to get a deal done on the fiscal cliff spark some serious safe haven buying? that's the question. joining us now to talk gold is president and ceo of global holdings. so that is the question. what's the answer? >> okay. well, as you said, gold has been range-bound for a little over a year now. and as far as the fiscal cliff, we're not coming close to a deal, maybe going over the cliff, you're seeing gold pulling back a little bit. so it's actually -- that is not an...
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lawmakers did get some work done over the weekend, despite failure to solve the fiscal cliff issue. senators approved antitrust attorneys william barrett to head the justice department ate antitrust division. also party leaders agreed on a farm bill extension that would head off a big jump in milk prices. lawmakers still need to vote on that agreement but at this point, at least there is something that they can take a look at. in the meantime, auto industry sales are headed for their best year since 2007. forecasters now say the total sales for 2012 should top 14.5 million cars and trucks. analysts say even more encouraging is the fact that sales increased steadily throughout the year, so that means we're ending things on a good note. also, finishing up a good year the movie industry. hollywood.com estimates 2012 ticket sales came in at a record 10.8 billion dollars. that's 6% higher than last year. and it beats the former record of $10.6 billion set back in 2009. joe? >> okay, beck, thanks. let's get to our next guest. among those working on a deal to avoid the fiscal cliff, joinin
lawmakers did get some work done over the weekend, despite failure to solve the fiscal cliff issue. senators approved antitrust attorneys william barrett to head the justice department ate antitrust division. also party leaders agreed on a farm bill extension that would head off a big jump in milk prices. lawmakers still need to vote on that agreement but at this point, at least there is something that they can take a look at. in the meantime, auto industry sales are headed for their best year...
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i think you're going to be faced with continuation of this risk to both the upside on a deal being done and then a smack to the downside when they realize the deal was this big. >> all right, well, regardless of how the fiscal cliff discussions turn out, bill gross isn't looking for much when it comes to equity returns next year. he is joining us live from pimico headquarters in california. nice to see you, happy new year. >> thank you, scott. same to you. >> stocks and bonds returning less than 5%. unemployment remains 7.5% or higher. why so glum? >> well, you know, with bonds only yielding 1.7%, the 5% or less call is not hard there. i think stocks in 2013 depend on two primary things. one, real economic growth, which was 2% or less. and second of all, the fed. at this point ben bernanke isn't rumplestiltskin. even if this cliff deal is inacted, we'll say good luck in a month with the debt ceiling. in terms of the real economy and stocks, profits importantly have benefited tremendously in recent years from lower interest expense and low growth wage. so at some point the tail winds are
i think you're going to be faced with continuation of this risk to both the upside on a deal being done and then a smack to the downside when they realize the deal was this big. >> all right, well, regardless of how the fiscal cliff discussions turn out, bill gross isn't looking for much when it comes to equity returns next year. he is joining us live from pimico headquarters in california. nice to see you, happy new year. >> thank you, scott. same to you. >> stocks and bonds...
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and with the white house and congress focused exclusively on the fiscal cliff, what does it all mean for president obama's second term agenda? the president laid out some of his goals on sunday on "meet the press." >> there are a couple of things that we need to get done. i've said that fixing our broken immigration system is a top priority. the second thing that we've got to do is to stabilize the economy and make sure it's growing. number three, you know, we've get a huge opportunity around energy. we are producing more energy and america can become an energy exporter. but the most immediate thing i've got to do, starting on january 1st, if congress doesn't act before the end of the year, is make sure that taxes are not going up on middle class families. >> joining me now, former spokesman for the democratic congressional campaign committee, doug thornel, republican media consultant kim, and my colleague at "the washington post" and white house reporter david knanakamura. doug, i want to start with you. the president's first-term agenda really was health care, and then he had to de
and with the white house and congress focused exclusively on the fiscal cliff, what does it all mean for president obama's second term agenda? the president laid out some of his goals on sunday on "meet the press." >> there are a couple of things that we need to get done. i've said that fixing our broken immigration system is a top priority. the second thing that we've got to do is to stabilize the economy and make sure it's growing. number three, you know, we've get a huge...
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but i actually still think we can gets it done. >> so what does the lack of a fiscal cliff deal with just days left in the 2012 mean for the markets? joining us from the cme, kevin ferry of cronis futures management. it's sad to watch all those clips back to back and realize where we are today. >> it's tough. mar's comments really ring perfectly at the end of that. that's for sure. >> and so just sort of set us up for the market day or maybe even the market week to the extent we have one left. how -- how do you think about the way the market may trade given the fact that we may have next to no deal likely i think before january 1 or at least in we do it's a baby. baby deal. >> right. right. well, here's what -- here's what we're observing so far, andrew. that the only significant move that we've really seen from the market has been the nighttime move when they walked away. and the rest of the session was actually quite quiet. so as far as the u.s. markets really putting pressure on the deal, we think it's been kind of void. so the real key, the trade that everyone now is listening, e
but i actually still think we can gets it done. >> so what does the lack of a fiscal cliff deal with just days left in the 2012 mean for the markets? joining us from the cme, kevin ferry of cronis futures management. it's sad to watch all those clips back to back and realize where we are today. >> it's tough. mar's comments really ring perfectly at the end of that. that's for sure. >> and so just sort of set us up for the market day or maybe even the market week to the extent...
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more problematically in this instance with the fiscal cliff, the consumer discretionaries. the restaurant stocks have done well. the retailers have done well. they could easily re-rate, in other words, correct, partly because consumers could rein in, and we could be seeing that now, we may not, or partly because wall street fears they would rein in. can you see consumer discretion as being vulnerable at this position now? >> consumer discretionary has been the best performing sector since the market bottomed in 2009. if there is a sector that could be in line for a re-writing, as you say, that's probably it. i think the most prudent way to look at the market today is to focus on sectors that have good dividend yields, good valuation and potential for revenue growth. health care and technology both fit that particular area. and i think those are the areas that, from a prudent perspective, might be the best place to make your bets for 2013. >> charles, where would you begin the new year? i know you're looking at value tech names, leapfrogging off of what david just said. you
more problematically in this instance with the fiscal cliff, the consumer discretionaries. the restaurant stocks have done well. the retailers have done well. they could easily re-rate, in other words, correct, partly because consumers could rein in, and we could be seeing that now, we may not, or partly because wall street fears they would rein in. can you see consumer discretion as being vulnerable at this position now? >> consumer discretionary has been the best performing sector since...
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how is oil dependent on fiscal cliff deal or no deal? >> well, i think that's the biggest short-term burden that crude oil and most of the commodities have right now. the biggest factor is if no deal is done by year end, the possibility of the u.s. slipping into a recession in the first half, greatly increases significantly. if that does that, you can see crude oil prices back off to that short-term support right around 86. i think overhead we're met with about a 91 resistance. the volume and also the participants in the market are going to be significantly less as a result of these fiscal cliff worries. >> we're going to sort of trend right around here -- it doesn't look like we're going to get a deal before year end of any great significance. that being said, we may get one last year. do we trade in line right here? >> so we're going to trade probably 91 on the upside, 86 on the low side. i think once a deal is done, you're going to see a reemergence of a risk-on rally. i think that's where crude oil breaks out to the upside. we start
how is oil dependent on fiscal cliff deal or no deal? >> well, i think that's the biggest short-term burden that crude oil and most of the commodities have right now. the biggest factor is if no deal is done by year end, the possibility of the u.s. slipping into a recession in the first half, greatly increases significantly. if that does that, you can see crude oil prices back off to that short-term support right around 86. i think overhead we're met with about a 91 resistance. the volume...
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numbers one and two this year are fiscal cliff and kick the can down the road. now, regardless of today's outcome is the damage already done for congress? whether they come up with a small deal or not here when it comes to the american people, they've already decided congress is useless. >> well, i think those of us who tried to function over the last couple years in congress have been saying that. we can't figure out who even the 10%, who support congress, are. we are totally dysfunctional right now and this is just probably the worst example of it. you know, i heard speaker boehner say a number of times that he doesn't believe in compromise and a lot of republicans say the same thing. they say let's find common ground and act on that. well, there just isn't much common ground. if, in fact, the numbers we're hearing about the senate deal, whether $450,000 threshold or $550,000, that is not a matter of principle. that's just a matter of policy and splitting hairs and differences of dollars. so i think unfortunately we've got a lot of people on the other side of
numbers one and two this year are fiscal cliff and kick the can down the road. now, regardless of today's outcome is the damage already done for congress? whether they come up with a small deal or not here when it comes to the american people, they've already decided congress is useless. >> well, i think those of us who tried to function over the last couple years in congress have been saying that. we can't figure out who even the 10%, who support congress, are. we are totally...
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that having been said the fiscal cliff will turn out to be not a maxi deal but a mini deal and will clip the economy not by 1% but a 2% and a 60% chance something will get done but that's where we come out on it right now. a little bit harder hit to the economy. >> don't adjust your sets, everybody. this is what bob sounds like today. >> this is a different exchange here. >> not doing your imitation of david? >> what do you think that the seasonal factors are a major reason why the markets are holding up so well? if you look at the havens, gold, treasuries, for example, the dollar, there's no sign of panic in the haven. >> silver is down. you've seen a little bit of a lift in the vix, closer to 20. that's not bad, a normalization type of thing. treasuries have sold off a little bit. that means the patient is leaving the hospital. the patient was on intensive care earlier in the year back in june. the biggest day of the year was june 19th. that's the day of the second greek election when that guy came in who did not take them out of euro to. meet biggest things that happened this year wer
that having been said the fiscal cliff will turn out to be not a maxi deal but a mini deal and will clip the economy not by 1% but a 2% and a 60% chance something will get done but that's where we come out on it right now. a little bit harder hit to the economy. >> don't adjust your sets, everybody. this is what bob sounds like today. >> this is a different exchange here. >> not doing your imitation of david? >> what do you think that the seasonal factors are a major...
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on the fiscal cliff. why this deal may not happen next. obviously a lot of attention tonight on the fiscal cliff. we're inside 30 hours until the expiration date on tax cuts. there are other important bits of business on capitol hill before the end of the year. in other words, in the next 30 hours or so. on friday, the senate approved a more than $60 billion bill to pay for construction costs for superstorm sandy. you see the video of that here. the house still needs to vote on that legislation. it isn't clear yet what the house is going to do. molly henneberg is live in d.c. there's a holdup in the house. what is it? >> the price tag. house republicans say it's too steep. a south carolina republican congressman said he and others want to help the people hurt by sandy but lawmakers need to figure out where the money's going to come from. >> it's not paid for. i know that's a difficult conversation to have but it's a necessary conversation. if we can't come together and figure out a way to stop spending so
on the fiscal cliff. why this deal may not happen next. obviously a lot of attention tonight on the fiscal cliff. we're inside 30 hours until the expiration date on tax cuts. there are other important bits of business on capitol hill before the end of the year. in other words, in the next 30 hours or so. on friday, the senate approved a more than $60 billion bill to pay for construction costs for superstorm sandy. you see the video of that here. the house still needs to vote on that...
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. >>> in washington right now a potential agreement to keep us from falling off the fiscal cliff. jessica yellen at the white house with some details. what are you learning? >> reporter: hi, suzanne. first of all, there is an emerging deal here, but it is still not done. it is in progress. there's a sense of sort of optimism that this will come to closu closure. what we know about this deal right now is that it would allow for earners at the very top to let their tax rates go back to clinton levels. so that is what was set to happen in the new year anyway. it only hits the very top earners. then the next level of the deal, households that earn $450,000 are the ones impacted by this. individuals who earn $400,000 a year are the ones who would see it go to clinton levels. the deal -- the emerging deal would also include as i understand an extension of unemployment benefits and a compromise on the estate tax that would allow a slight increase or something of an increase from where we are now but not an absolute jump to where it would be beginning tomorrow. now, if there were no deal.
. >>> in washington right now a potential agreement to keep us from falling off the fiscal cliff. jessica yellen at the white house with some details. what are you learning? >> reporter: hi, suzanne. first of all, there is an emerging deal here, but it is still not done. it is in progress. there's a sense of sort of optimism that this will come to closu closure. what we know about this deal right now is that it would allow for earners at the very top to let their tax rates go...
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working through the weekend to avoid that looming fiscal cliff. >>> and at 70 years old he is out to do something few have ever done. he is doing it while battling cancer. this is $100,000. we asked total strangers to watch it for us. thank you so much. i appreciate it. i'll be right back. they didn't take a dime. how much in fees does your bank take to watch your money? if your bank takes more money than a stranger, you need an ally. ally bank. your money needs an ally. [ tylenol bottle ] me too! and nasal co [ tissue box ] he said nasal congestion. yeah...i heard him. [ female announcer ] tylenol® cold multi-symptom nighttime relieves nasal congestion. nyquil® cold and flu doesn't. so, the 5.3-liter v8 silverado can tow up to 9,600 pounds? 315 horsepower. what's that in reindeer-power? [ laughs ] [ pencil scratches ] [ male announcer ] chevy's giving more. now through january 2nd, no monthly payments until spring for qualified buyers. get the silverado for 0% apr financing for 60 months plus $1,000 holiday bonus cash. plus trade up for an additional $1,000 trade-in allowance. and
working through the weekend to avoid that looming fiscal cliff. >>> and at 70 years old he is out to do something few have ever done. he is doing it while battling cancer. this is $100,000. we asked total strangers to watch it for us. thank you so much. i appreciate it. i'll be right back. they didn't take a dime. how much in fees does your bank take to watch your money? if your bank takes more money than a stranger, you need an ally. ally bank. your money needs an ally. [ tylenol...
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fiscal cliff is about being afraid, i think. >> let's do the numbers. >> 350,000 on initial jobless claims. that is definitely less than we were looking for. it's a dozen less than the revised number you're looking at last week. 3.206 million on continuing claims. and just to put a face on it, 350,000. when was the last time we had 350,000? well, let's see, we had 344,000 on pearl harbor day. this is probably a level that we should pay attention to. it's like logically important, that it's going to give us any clues as to how many jobs we're going to create on any first friday. i think that information line is broken. let's get back to that other conversation now. let's go with it. you know, the issue with t.a.r.p. was, yes, there were things that were freezing up. that responsibility adults had to come and do something, and i remember not agreeing with maria bartiromo at the time because everybody was disappointed they didn't hurry up to write a check for seven eighths of a trillion dollars without any thought. so i thought that was the negative issue here. i'm not wearing my button today
fiscal cliff is about being afraid, i think. >> let's do the numbers. >> 350,000 on initial jobless claims. that is definitely less than we were looking for. it's a dozen less than the revised number you're looking at last week. 3.206 million on continuing claims. and just to put a face on it, 350,000. when was the last time we had 350,000? well, let's see, we had 344,000 on pearl harbor day. this is probably a level that we should pay attention to. it's like logically important,...
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in time to avoid the fiscal cliff, and that's what our focus issen ob this morning. for his part, president obama says he's modestly optimistic they can work things out. even if a deal is thrown together, senator harry reid says what they come up with could be imperfect and some people aren't going to like it. bringen in independent new york stock exchange trader joining us from new york. good to see you. >> good to see you, alison. thanks for having me. >> as you said, washington has been kicking the can down the road. so what are the chances of a real deal going through at the very last minute? things sound a little more optimistic last night, if you listened to president obama. >> i think they have to sound optimistic. the last thing they want to do is not sound optimistic. here's the problem. we've come right to the 11th hour. the fact there's going to be a substantive deal that comes out in the 11th hour is probably nailed to zero. in my sense, it's easier to go over the cliff. then there's clarity, right? taxes up, spending cut. the market will know what is goi
in time to avoid the fiscal cliff, and that's what our focus issen ob this morning. for his part, president obama says he's modestly optimistic they can work things out. even if a deal is thrown together, senator harry reid says what they come up with could be imperfect and some people aren't going to like it. bringen in independent new york stock exchange trader joining us from new york. good to see you. >> good to see you, alison. thanks for having me. >> as you said, washington...
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. >> the bill as amended is pass zbld the senate overwhelmingly passed a bill to avert the fiscal cliff. >> this temporary agreement keeps income tax rates steady for most americans, limiting tax hikes to households making more than $450,000. >> i think we can say we've done some good for the country. >> president obama encouraged the house to pass it right away. >> if there's even one second left before you have to do what you're supposed to do, they will use that last second. >>> it has not been a great start to the new year for hillary clinton. >> she's undergoing treatment for a blood clot in the head between the brain and the skull. >> she didn't have a stroke. she didn't have a seizure. the prognosis is excellent. >>> an estimated 1 million people in times square. >> revelers welcomed in the new year with celebrations around the world. around 100,000 people in hong kong. fireworks display over the skies of london. >> all that. >> i'm single, so let's get it on. >> there are so many people making out it's sloppy. >> who to you think would win in a fistfight. you or -- >> and all th
. >> the bill as amended is pass zbld the senate overwhelmingly passed a bill to avert the fiscal cliff. >> this temporary agreement keeps income tax rates steady for most americans, limiting tax hikes to households making more than $450,000. >> i think we can say we've done some good for the country. >> president obama encouraged the house to pass it right away. >> if there's even one second left before you have to do what you're supposed to do, they will use that...
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cliff, to have a sunset when it comes to our fiscal situation is that really what's going on here? lawmakers are on vacation, so will anything get done in time? >>> lots of people on vacation, dana. a winter storm may be headed your way. for all of the people traveling, 93 million americans on trains, planes, and automobiles. what it means for your holiday travel plans. good morning, welcome to "starting point." chilly in new york city. 7:00 in the morning. i'm alina cho in new york. >> and i'm dana bash in washington. monday, december 24th. christmas eve. "starting point" begins right now. >> and our "starting point," a u.s. contractor in kabul gunned down and killed this morning by a woman wearing an afghan police uniform. it happened inside kabul's police headquarters. the latest in a string of suspected green on blue attacks that are hitting morale and eroding trust in allies there. our pentagon correspond respondent barbara starr up early for us working her sources. joins us live from washington with more. >> good morning, alina. in the last few minutes, our nato sources are c
cliff, to have a sunset when it comes to our fiscal situation is that really what's going on here? lawmakers are on vacation, so will anything get done in time? >>> lots of people on vacation, dana. a winter storm may be headed your way. for all of the people traveling, 93 million americans on trains, planes, and automobiles. what it means for your holiday travel plans. good morning, welcome to "starting point." chilly in new york city. 7:00 in the morning. i'm alina cho in...
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he feels that a deal on averting this fiscal cliff might get done. here's the president. >> i'm modestly optimistic that an agreement can be achieved. money is going to get 100% of what they want. let's make sure that middle class families and the american economy and, in fact, the world economy aren't adversely impacted because people can't do their jobs. i think you could qualify it. he said optimistic and came back later in that speech and said mod testily optimistic. >> juliet: doesn't that suggest that he is backtracking? >> clayton: don't know what's going to happen at the end of the day. in this meeting as dave was talking about back and forth the ball is in the senate's court right now mitch mcconnell said we will take it we don't want to go back to the house where that was a mess over in the house. we will take it. we will will try. this the president said you try this if you can't get anything done i want a straight up or down vote on those making over $250,000 a year and some of the unemployment benefits for 2 million individuals will stil
he feels that a deal on averting this fiscal cliff might get done. here's the president. >> i'm modestly optimistic that an agreement can be achieved. money is going to get 100% of what they want. let's make sure that middle class families and the american economy and, in fact, the world economy aren't adversely impacted because people can't do their jobs. i think you could qualify it. he said optimistic and came back later in that speech and said mod testily optimistic. >> juliet:...
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. >> that's obviously jon talking about the fiscal cliff. but he also said yesterday that he thinks that the whole concept of putting any armed police officers at schools should be done at the local level, if at all. the big push at the nra is to make it a federal program and it should be funded by the federal government by congress. so it does not look like there's going to be a lot of support for that right now. i've been struck talking to republicans sources. republican sources at how turned off a lot of people were by wayne louisiana pair. more so with the tone and the way he delivered the message. i talked to one republican in congress who said that it seemed like it was a time war. he was very aggressive and he didn't seem to be sort of getting the sentiment of where we are now. >> so listening to lindsey graham saying there's not much we can do to stop someone who is not wired right and talking to the number of lawmakers that you have talked to, after the first of the year when dianne feinstein says she's going to introduce this bill,
. >> that's obviously jon talking about the fiscal cliff. but he also said yesterday that he thinks that the whole concept of putting any armed police officers at schools should be done at the local level, if at all. the big push at the nra is to make it a federal program and it should be funded by the federal government by congress. so it does not look like there's going to be a lot of support for that right now. i've been struck talking to republicans sources. republican sources at how...
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if -- it will go down to about $45,000 if the fiscal cliff goes off and nothing is done to adjust it. individuals now getting $45,000 back in '82 when first enarngted which is a lot different than $45,000 today. so if individuals earning $45,000 today might be impacted by additional taxes by this amt if something's not done. and, again, this is just a way to try to -- the problem with the amt is it wasn't adjusted for inflation so as time went on and prices have gone up and people have made more money and inflation has gone into place, things have not adjusted for the what the amt is now currently so this is going to be a big piece and those in the finance world are looking at making sure that this thing doesn't come into play. come 2014, people will have a big surprise if they file their taxes and this amt is not adjusted. >> ryan, look into the future which is ten days. do you think a deal will be done? >> what we're going to have, we're going to have a short-term deal. bottom line is if these spending cuts are way too extensive. the medicare cuts, way too extensive to put together
if -- it will go down to about $45,000 if the fiscal cliff goes off and nothing is done to adjust it. individuals now getting $45,000 back in '82 when first enarngted which is a lot different than $45,000 today. so if individuals earning $45,000 today might be impacted by additional taxes by this amt if something's not done. and, again, this is just a way to try to -- the problem with the amt is it wasn't adjusted for inflation so as time went on and prices have gone up and people have made...
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the nation now just hours from going over the fiscal cliff after lawmakers fail to reach a deal over the weekend. could a last-minute push from vice president joe biden get something done before your taxes go up? >>> and oh, baby. kanye wecakanye west surprises y announcing his girlfriend, kim kardashian, is pregnant with their first child. how her family is reacting to the news "today," monday, december 31st, 2012. >> announcer: from nbc news, this is "today" with matt lauer and savannah guthrie live from studio 1a in rockefeller plaza. >> welcome to "today" on a very busy monday morning. i'm willie geist. >> and i'm erica hill. matt and savannah have the morning off. >>> we'll have the latest on secretary of state clinton's condition in a live report straight ahead. it is the last day of 2012. >> you and i are both in the same situation with young children. >>> people filing into times square in new york city. it is the world's biggest party. of course, security will be extremely tight. we'll check in on celebrations there and around the world. >> then we'll catch up with three wom
the nation now just hours from going over the fiscal cliff after lawmakers fail to reach a deal over the weekend. could a last-minute push from vice president joe biden get something done before your taxes go up? >>> and oh, baby. kanye wecakanye west surprises y announcing his girlfriend, kim kardashian, is pregnant with their first child. how her family is reacting to the news "today," monday, december 31st, 2012. >> announcer: from nbc news, this is "today"...
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. ♪ >>> back now at 7:40 as the nation watches to see what happens with the fiscal cliff, there's another important piece of legislation that needs attention. if nothing is done about it, the cost of milk could go sky high. here's nbc's stephanie gosk. >> reporter: the dairy industry is calling it the milk cliff. just like tax rates, if congress doesn't approve a farm bill by january 1st, the price of milk could go up. way up. right now an average gallon costs $3.65. it could soar to between $6 and $8. mara has three little kids. that means a lot of milk. >> you have to have it for young kids. it helps them grow. so it's hard when it gets that expensive. >> reporter: for many families, milk is a staple they can't cut back on. >> a lot of families that are tight, incomewise, they don't want to buy milk at $7, $8. >> reporter: it's not just milk prices. all dairy products would be affected. imagine if wisconsin cheddar cost more than imported french brie. what would that mean for the average grilled cheese? one part of the complicated farm bill controls the dairy market. without it, pricing
. ♪ >>> back now at 7:40 as the nation watches to see what happens with the fiscal cliff, there's another important piece of legislation that needs attention. if nothing is done about it, the cost of milk could go sky high. here's nbc's stephanie gosk. >> reporter: the dairy industry is calling it the milk cliff. just like tax rates, if congress doesn't approve a farm bill by january 1st, the price of milk could go up. way up. right now an average gallon costs $3.65. it could...